Volume 18, Number 1—January 2012
The 1918–19 Influenza Pandemic in Boyacá, Colombia
|Mortality outcome||Early growth phase period, 1918||Daily growth rate, mean (95% CI)||R estimate, mean (95% CI)
|3-d generation interval
||4-d generation interval
|Exp dist.||Delta dist.||Exp dist.||Delta dist.|
|Deaths from respiratory illness||Oct 13–Nov 15||0.121 (0.120–0.122)||1.40 (1.39–1.40)||1.44 (1.43–1.44)||1.54 (1.54–1.54)||1.62 (1.62–1.63)|
|Excess deaths from respiratory illness||Oct 27–Nov 15||0.137 (0.136–0.139)||1.45 (1.45–1.46)||1.51 (1.51–1.52)||1.62 (1.62–1.63)||1.73 (1.72–1.74)|
*Estimates are based on daily data. A generation interval of 3 or 4 d is assumed, with an exponential (exp) or a fixed (delta) distribution (dist.). R, reproduction number.
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