Capture–Recapture Method for Estimating Annual Incidence of Imported Dengue, France, 2007–2010
Guy La Ruche
, Dominique Dejour-Salamanca, Pascale Bernillon, Isabelle Leparc-Goffart, Martine Ledrans, Alexis Armengaud, Monique Debruyne, Gérard-Antoine Denoyel, Ségolène Brichler, Laetitia Ninove, Philippe Desprès, and Marc Gastellu-Etchegorry
Author affiliations: Institut de Veille Sanitaire, Saint-Maurice, France (G. La Ruche, D. Dejour-Salamanca, P. Bernillon, M. Gastellu-Etchegorry); Institut de Recherche Biomédicale des Armées, Marseille, France (I. Leparc-Goffart); Cellule de l'Institut de Veille Sanitaire aux Antilles-Guyane, Fort-de-France, Martinique, France (M. Ledrans); Cellule de l'Institut de Veille Sanitaire Sud, Marseille (A. Armengaud); Cerba Laboratory, Saint-Ouen l’Aumone, France (M. Debruyne); Biomnis Laboratory, Lyon, France (G.-A. Denoyel); Avicenne University Hospital, Bobigny, France (S. Brichler); Institut Hospitalo-Universitaire Méditerranée-Infection, Marseille (L. Ninove); Institut Pasteur National Reference Laboratory for Arboviruses, Paris, France (P. Desprès)
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Figure 3
Figure 3. . Estimated monthly numbers of dengue cases in metropolitan France* and in the French West Indies†, 2007–2010. *In metropolitan France, which comprises the mainland and the island of Corsica, biologically diagnosed cases of dengue were estimated by using the capture–recapture method with data from 2 sources: a mandatory notification system and a laboratory network; the Chapman-Seber estimator was used. Data were stratified according to geographic area. †On the French West Indies islands Martinique and Guadeloupe, cases were estimated from clinically suspected cases within a sentinel network of general practitioners on each island.
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