Volume 20, Number 12—December 2014
Research
Molecular Evolution of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus
Table 4
Sequence dataset (no.)† | Models, substitution/ clock/demographic | Mean nucleotide substitution rate, substitutions/site/y (95% HPD) | TMRCA, y (95% HPD) | Bayes factor, –log likelihood |
---|---|---|---|---|
PPRV complete genome (12) | GTR + G/strict/BSP | 3.2 x 10–4 (2.02 x 10–4–4.31 x 10–4) | 1763 (1653–1832) | –46,972.98 |
GTR + G/strict/CS | 3.21 x 10–4 (2.12 x 10–4–4.38 x 10–4) | 1763 (1659–1834) | –46,973.06 | |
GTR + G/strict/EG | 3.24 x 10–4 (2.12 x 10–4–4.33 x 10–4) | 1765 (1668–1836) | –46,973.06 | |
GTR + G/UCLD/BSP | 2.89 x 10-3 (3.21 x 10–8–6.92 x 10–4) | 1691 (123 |
–46,935.66 | |
GTR + G/UCLD/CS | 3.03 x 10–4 (8.99 x 10–9–7.07 x 10–4) | 1705 (123–1961) | –46,935.86 | |
GTR + G/UCLD/EG | 3.72 x 10–4 (3.01 x 10–5–7.93 x 10–4) | 1767 (1222–1948) | –46,935.89 | |
GTR + G/UCED/BSP | 7.91 x 10–4 (7.46 x 10–5–1.53 x 10–3) | 1889 (1586–1968) | –46,933.82 | |
GTR + G/UCED/CS | 7.98 x 10–4 (8.03 x 10–5–1.54 x 10–3) | 1887 (1569–1968) | –46,933.98 | |
GTR + G/UCED/EG | 9.09 x 10–4 (2.13 x 10–4–1.64 x 10–3) | 1904 (1730–1966) | –46,933.96 | |
GTR + G/random/BSP | 7.01 x 10–4 (5.55 x 10–4–8.50 x 10–4) | 1888 (1862–1908) | –46,934.75 | |
GTR + G/random/CS | 6.97 x 10–4 (5.38 x 10–4–8.41 x 10–4) | 1887 (1860–1908) | –46,934.64 | |
GTR + G/random/EG | 7.04 x 10–4 (5.57 x 10–4–8.57 x 10–4) | 1888 (1861–1908) | –46,934.89 | |
N partial (159) | GTR + G/strict/BSP | 1.22 x 10–3 (9.39 x 10–4–1.51 x 10–3) | 1890 (1857–1917) | –2,884.524 |
GTR + G/strict/CS | 1.23 x 10–3 (9.49 x 10–4–1.52 x 10–3) | 1886 (1853–1913) | –2,887.723 | |
GTR + G/strict/EG | 1.24 x 10–3 (9.71 x 10–4–1.56 x 10–3) | 1893 (1863–1919) | –2,885.44 | |
GTR + G/UCLD/BSP | 1.45 x 10–3 (1.06 x 10–3–1.87 x 10–3) | 1896 (1815–1943) | –2,806.535 | |
GTR + G/UCLD/CS | 1.41 x 10–3 (1.05 x 10–3–1.80 x 10–3) | 1882 (1793–1935) | –2,805.535 | |
GTR + G/UCLD/EG | 1.49 x 10–3 (1.10 x 10–3–1.89 x 10–3) | 1904 (1838–1943) | –2,805.921 | |
GTR + G/UCED/BSP | 1.52 x 10–3 (1.11 x 10–3–1.98 x 10–3) | 1904 (1817–1949) | –2,799.572 | |
GTR + G/UCED/CS | 1.46 x 10–3 (1.05 x 10–3–1.88 x 10–3) | 1886 (1785–1940) | –2,799.512 | |
GTR + G/UCED/EG | 1.56 x 10-3 (1.16 x 10–3–1.99 x 10–3) | 1910 (1846–1947) | –2,799.444 | |
GTR + G/random/BSP | 1.26 x 10–3 (9.44 x 10–4–1.58 x 10–3) | 1881 (1837–1915) | –2,865.846 | |
GTR + G/random/CS | 1.24 x 10–3 (9.38 x 10–4–1.57 x 10–3) | 1875 (1831–1910) | –2,866.111 | |
GTR + G/random/EG | 1.27 x 10–3 (9.62 x 10–4–1.60 x 10–3) | 1880 (1841–1914) | –2,866.929 | |
N CDS (12) | GTR + G/UCED/EG | 1.01 x 10–3 (2.79 x 10–4–1.83 x 10–3) | 1924 (1799–1970) | NA |
N complete gene (12) | GTR + G/UCED/EG | 1.08 x 10–3 (3.19 x 10–4–1.93 x 10–3) | 1923 (1804–1970) | NA |
P CDS (12) | GTR + I/UCED/EG | 1.11 x 10–3 (3.46 x 10–4–1.29 x 10–3) | 1931 (1833–1972) | NA |
P complete gene (12) | GTR + I/UCED/EG | 1.19 x 10–3 (3.46 x 10–4–2.03 x 10–3) | 1930 (1828–1971) | NA |
M CDS (12) | GTR + G/UCED/EG | 6.52 x 10–4 (1.20 x 10–4–1.20 x 10–3) | 1897 (1695–1964) | NA |
M complete gene (12) | GTR + I/UCED/EG | 2.49 x 10–3 (9.96 x 10–4–4.14 x 10–3) | 1944 (1879–1973) | NA |
FCDS (12) | GTR + I/CED/EG | 8.95 x 10–4 (2.43 x 10–4–1.58 x 10–3) | 1914 (1766–1968) | NA |
F complete gene (12) | GTR + G/UCED/EG | 1.33 x 10–3 (3.26 x 10–4–2.36 x 10–3) | 1912 (1754–1967) | NA |
H CDS (12) | GTR + G/UCED/EG | 1.21 x 10–3 (3.96 x 10–4–2.04 x 10–3) | 1926 (1826–1969) | NA |
H complete gene (12) | GTR + G/UCED/EG | 1.25 x 10–3 (4.34 x 10–4–2.14 x 10–3) | 1925 (1821–1968) | NA |
L CDS (12) | GTR + I/UCED/EG | 9.82 x 10–4 (3.76 x 10–4–1.67 x 10–3) | 1929 (1834–1969) | NA |
L complete gene (12) | GTR + I/UCED/EG | 9.69 x 10–4 (3.36 x 10–4–1.64 x 10–3) | 1927 (1820–1969) | NA |
PPRV/RPV/MV (16) | GTR+ G + I/UCED/EG | 1.89 x 10–3 (5.55 x 10–4–3.31 x 10–3) | 1616 (1072–1859) | NA |
*Bold indicates best-fit models. HPD, highest posterior density; TMRCA, time to most recent common ancestor; GTR + G, general time-reversible with gamma distribution rates; BSP, Bayesian skyline plot; CS, constant size; EG, exponential growth; UCLD, uncorrelated lognormal distribution; UCED, uncorrelated exponential distribution; NA, not applicable; GTR + I, general time-reversible with invariant sites; GTR+ G + I, general time-reversible with gamma distribution rates and invariant sites.
†PPRV, peste des petits ruminants virus; N, nucleoprotein; CDS, coding sequence; P, phosphoprotein; M, matrix; F, fusion; H, hemagglutinin; L, large polymerase; RPV, rinderpest virus; MV, measles virus.
1Preliminary results were presented at the 15th International Negative Strand Virus Meeting, June 16–21, 2013, Granada, Spain.