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Volume 20, Number 8—August 2014
Research

Global and Local Persistence of Influenza A(H5N1) Virus

Xianbin Li, Zhong Zhang, Ailian Yu, Simon Y. W. Ho, Michael J. Carr, Weimin Zheng, Yanzhou Zhang, Chaodong Zhu1, Fumin Lei1, and Weifeng Shi1Comments to Author 
Author affiliations: Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen, China (X. Li); Taishan Medical College, Taian, Shandong, China (Z. Zhang, A. Yu, W. Shi); Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China (X. Li, W. Zheng, Y. Zhang, C. Zhu, F. Lei); University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia (S.Y.W. Ho); University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland (M.J. Carr); 1These authors contributed equally to this article.

Main Article

Table 2

Means and 95% credible intervals of the total immigration and emigration rates for highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) viruses across resampled replicates and trunk proportion of each region, 1996–2012*

Region Mean (95% credible interval)
Immigration Emigration Trunk proportion
Europe 1.24 (0.61–2.25) 0.89 (0.49–1.58) 0.01 (0.00–0.05)
Hong Kong 0.65 (0.34–1.13) 0.67 (0.41–1.05) 0.06 (0.04–0.12)
Africa 0.26 (0.18–0.38) 0.98 (0.62–1.45) 0.25 (0.23–0.29)
China 0.46 (0.25–0.81) 0.69 (0.41–1.08) 0.24 (0.17–0.31)
Central and western Asia 1.95 (1.18–2.95) 0.71 (0.40–1.24) 0.01 (0.00–0.03)
Southern Asia 0.40 (0.28–0.60) 0.56 (0.32–0.93) 0.02 (0.00–0.10)
Southeast Asia 0.25 (0.16–0.38) 0.37 (0.23–0.56) 0.38 (0.35–0.41)
South Korea and Japan 1.05 (0.52–2.72) 1.03 (0.36–2.60) 0.00 (0.00–0.02)
Siberia 1.45 (0.57–3.35) 1.81 (0.84–4.05) 0.04 (0.00–0.11)

*Migration rates are given in migration events per lineage per year.

Main Article

Page created: July 18, 2014
Page updated: July 18, 2014
Page reviewed: July 18, 2014
The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
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