Volume 22, Number 12—December 2016
CME ACTIVITY - Research
Electrolyte and Metabolic Disturbances in Ebola Patients during a Clinical Trial, Guinea, 2015
Table 3
Factors associated with increased risk for death among 78 Ebola patients recruited for the Ebola-Tx trial, Conakry, Guinea, 2015*
Blood test result† | POC model |
POC+ model,‡ aOR (95% CI) | |
---|---|---|---|
Crude OR (95% CI) | aOR (95% CI) | ||
K+, per unit increase | 1.7 (0.9–3.3) | – | – |
iCa2+, per 0.1-unit increase) | 0.70 (0.59–0.84) | 0.78 (0.63–0.96) | 0.73 (0.57–0.95) |
Glucose, per 50-unit increase) | 0.87 (0.50–1.52) | – | – |
Creatinine, per 100-unit increase) | 2.1 (1.5–3.0) | 2.1 (1.3–3.3) | 2.3 (1.1–4.6) |
TCO2, per 5-unit increase) | 0.38 (0.20–0.74) | – | – |
Anion gap, per 5-unit increase) | 1.5 (0.6–3.7) | – | – |
Hemoglobin, per 1-unit increase) | 1.0 (0.9–1.2) | 0.79 (0.63–0.99) | 0.67 (0.47–0.93) |
Ct value, per 1-unit increase) | 0.80 (0.70–0.93) | 0.73 (0.56–0.94) | |
Age, per 10-y increase) | 1.8 (1.3–2.6) | 2.7 (1.2–6.4) |
*aOR, adjusted odds ratio; Ct, cycle threshold; iCa2+, ionized (free) calcium; K+, potassium; OR, odds ratio; POC, point-of-care; TCO2, total dissolved carbon dioxide.
†No evidence of nonlinearity of the continuous variables except for glucose, which was transformed to the power of –2.
‡POC+ model includes 3 POC measurements (blood creatinine, calcium, and hemoglobin) plus the cycle threshold value of the diagnostic Ebola PCR result and the age of the patient.