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Volume 22, Number 5—May 2016

Outbreak of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome at Tertiary Care Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, 2014

Deborah L. Hastings1, Jerome I. Tokars1, Inas Zakaria A.M. Abdel Aziz, Khulud Z. Alkhaldi, Areej T. Bensadek, Basem M. Alraddadi, Hani Jokhdar, John A. Jernigan, Mohammed A. Garout2, Sara M. Tomczyk, Ikwo K. Oboho, Andrew I. Geller, Nimalan Arinaminpathy, David L. Swerdlow3, and Tariq A. MadaniComments to Author 
Author affiliations: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA (D.L. Hastings, J.I. Tokars, J.A. Jernigan, S.M. Tomczyk, I.K. Oboho, A.I. Geller, D.L. Swerdlow); Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt (I.Z.A.M. Abdel Aziz); Ministry of Health, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia (K.Z. Alkhaldi, T.A. Madani); King Fahd General Hospital, Jeddah (A.T. Bensadek, H. Jokhdar, M.A. Garout); King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Jeddah (B.M. Alraddadi); Central Board of Accreditation for Healthcare Institutions, Jeddah (H. Jokhdar); Umm Al-Qura University, Makkah, Saudi Arabia (H. Jokhdar, M.A. Garout); International Medical Center, Jeddah (M.A. Garout); Imperial College of London, London, UK (N. Arinaminpathy); King Abulaziz University, Jeddah (T.A. Madani)

Main Article

Table 1

Probability of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus incubation periods, King Fahd General Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, March 2–May 10, 2014*

Incubation period, d Day probability Cumulative probability
1 0.0010 0.0010
2 0.0349 0.0359
3 0.1141 0.1500
4 0.1605 0.3105
5 0.1600 0.4705
6 0.1358 0.6063
7 0.1060 0.7123
8 0.0792 0.7916
9 0.0578 0.8494
10 0.0417 0.8911
11 0.0299 0.9210
12 0.0215 0.9425
13 0.0154 0.9579
14 0.0111 0.9690

*Incubation periods of 1–14 days by using a log-normal distribution with mean 5.2 days and SD ±1.7 days2.

Main Article

1These authors contributed equally to this article.

2Current affiliation: International Medical Center, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

3Current affiliation: Pfizer Inc., Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA.

Page created: April 13, 2016
Page updated: April 13, 2016
Page reviewed: April 13, 2016
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