Volume 24, Number 10—October 2018
Research
Transmission Dynamics of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus A(H5Nx) Clade 2.3.4.4, North America, 2014–2015
Dong-Hun Lee1, Mia Kim Torchetti, Joseph Hicks, Mary Lea Killian, Justin Bahl, Mary Pantin-Jackwood, and David E. Swayne
Table
Well-supported discrete trait viral transitions among chicken, turkey, and wild bird populations during highly pathogenic avian influenza virus H5 outbreak, Midwest and Pacific regions, USA, 2014–2015*
| Transition from | Transition to | Bayes factor | Posterior probability | Mean transition rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midwest chicken | Midwest turkey | 38,421.1688 | 1.0 | 5.0917 |
| Midwest turkey | Midwest chicken | 38,421.1688 | 1.0 | 1.8376 |
| Midwest turkey | Midwest wild bird | 4,798.9103 | 0.9991 | 0.8344 |
| Pacific wild bird | Pacific chicken | 464.3334 | 0.9909 | 0.8478 |
| Pacific wild bird | Midwest turkey | 227.2091 | 0.9816 | 0.8557 |
| Pacific wild bird | Pacific turkey | 201.2141 | 0.9792 | 0.5687 |
*Only the migrations supported by a Bayes factor >4 and posterior probability >0.5 are indicated.
1Current affiliation: University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut, USA.
Page created: September 14, 2018
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