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Volume 31, Number 5—May 2025
Dispatch

Recent and Forecasted Increases in Coccidioidomycosis Incidence Linked to Hydroclimatic Swings, California, USA

Simon K. Camponuri1, Alexandra K. Heaney1, Gail Sondermeyer Cooksey, Duc J. Vugia, Seema Jain, Daniel L. Swain, John Balmes, Justin V. Remais, and Jennifer R. HeadComments to Author 
Author affiliation: University of California, Berkeley, California, USA (S.K. Camponuri, J. Balmes, J.V. Remais); University of California, San Diego, California, USA (A. K. Heaney); California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California, USA (G.S. Cooksey, D.J. Vugia); San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco, California, USA (S. Jain); University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources, Davis, California, USA (D.L. Swain); University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA (D.L. Swain); NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA (D.L. Swain); University of California, San Francisco (J. Balmes); University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA (J.R. Head)

Main Article

Figure 3

Forecasted regional monthly coccidioidomycosis cases during January 1, 2023–March 31, 2025, under varying future climates in 2024–2025 in study of recent and forecasted increases in coccidioidomycosis incidence linked to hydroclimatic swings, California, USA. A) Bay Area; B) Central Coast; C) Eastern California; D) Northern California; E) Northern San Joaquin Valley; F) Southern Coast; G) Southern Inland; H) Southern Sacramento Valley; I) Southern San Joaquin Valley. The baseline climate scenario represents the 50th percentile of precipitation during 1981–2023 and extrapolated monthly average temperatures assuming a 42-year linear trend. The 20th and 80th percentile precipitation scenarios assume the baseline temperature scenario, and the 3°F warmer or cooler temperature scenarios assume the baseline precipitation scenario (i.e., 50th percentile).

Figure 3. Forecasted regional monthly coccidioidomycosis cases during January 1, 2023–March 31, 2025, under varying future climates in 2024–2025 in study of recent and forecasted increases in coccidioidomycosis incidence linked to hydroclimatic swings, California, USA. A) Bay Area; B) Central Coast; C) Eastern California; D) Northern California; E) Northern San Joaquin Valley; F) Southern Coast; G) Southern Inland; H) Southern Sacramento Valley; I) Southern San Joaquin Valley. The baseline climate scenario represents the 50th percentile of precipitation during 1981–2023 and extrapolated monthly average temperatures assuming a 42-year linear trend. The 20th and 80th percentile precipitation scenarios assume the baseline temperature scenario, and the 3°F warmer or cooler temperature scenarios assume the baseline precipitation scenario (i.e., 50th percentile).

Main Article

1These authors contributed equally to this article.

Page created: March 04, 2025
Page updated: March 18, 2025
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