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Volume 31, Number 5—May 2025
Dispatch

Recent and Forecasted Increases in Coccidioidomycosis Incidence Linked to Hydroclimatic Swings, California, USA

Simon K. Camponuri1, Alexandra K. Heaney1, Gail Sondermeyer Cooksey, Duc J. Vugia, Seema Jain, Daniel L. Swain, John Balmes, Justin V. Remais, and Jennifer R. HeadComments to Author 
Author affiliation: University of California, Berkeley, California, USA (S.K. Camponuri, J. Balmes, J.V. Remais); University of California, San Diego, California, USA (A. K. Heaney); California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California, USA (G.S. Cooksey, D.J. Vugia); San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco, California, USA (S. Jain); University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources, Davis, California, USA (D.L. Swain); University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA (D.L. Swain); NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA (D.L. Swain); University of California, San Francisco (J. Balmes); University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA (J.R. Head)

Main Article

Table

Region-level forecasted incident cases for the 2023 (April 2023–March 2024) and 2024 (April 2024–March 2025) transmission years in study of recent and forecasted increases in coccidioidomycosis incidence linked to hydroclimatic swings, California, USA*

Region 2023 forecasted (90% PI) 2024 forecasted (90% PI)
Bay Area 529 (482–589) 558 (512–610)
Central Coast 1,189 (1,025–1,400) 1,207 (1,071–1,378)
Eastern California 42 (30–76) 49 (32–82)
Northern California 32 (22–43) 28 (19–38)
Northern San Joaquin Valley 605 (515–703) 811 (696–924)
Southern Coast 3,049 (2,875–3,269) 3,322 (3,172–3,494)
Southern Inland 694 (625–770) 725 (658–797)
Southern San Joaquin Valley 5,557 (5,084–6,182) 5,399 (4,993–5,902)
Southern Sacramento Valley
 149 (120–542)
 147 (120–255)
Statewide 11,846 (11,224–12,456) 12,244 (11,638–12,917)

*PI, prediction interval.

Main Article

1These authors contributed equally to this article.

Page created: March 04, 2025
Page updated: March 18, 2025
Page reviewed: March 18, 2025
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