Volume 26, Number 12—December 2020
Coronavirus Disease Model to Inform Transmission-Reducing Measures and Health System Preparedness, Australia
|Parameter||Estimate or assumption||Justification|
|Doubling time||6.4 d||Estimated in from early case growth in Wuhan, China, from Wu et al. (11)|
||Based on Li et al. (12) and Lauer et al. (13)
|R0||2.53||Based on latent and infectious periods, with doubling time 6.4 d (Appendix)|
|Latent (noninfectious) period||3.2 d||Assumes 2 d of presymptomatic transmission before completion of incubation period, based on contribution estimates from Ganyani et al. (14) and Tindal et al. (15)|
|Infectious period||9.68 d||Estimated, related to doubling time and incubation period (Appendix)|
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