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Volume 27, Number 1—January 2021
Research

Recency-Weighted Statistical Modeling Approach to Attribute Illnesses Caused by 4 Pathogens to Food Sources Using Outbreak Data, United States

Michael B. BatzComments to Author , LaTonia C. Richardson, Michael C. Bazaco, Cary Chen Parker, Stuart J. Chirtel, Dana Cole1, Neal J. Golden, Patricia M. Griffin, Weidong Gu2, Susan K. Schmitt3, Beverly J. Wolpert, Joanna S. Zablotsky Kufel, and R. Michael Hoekstra4
Author affiliations: US Food and Drug Administration, College Park, Maryland, USA (M.B. Batz, M.C. Bazaco, C. Chen Parker, S.J. Chirtel, B.J. Wolpert); Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA (L.C. Richardson, D. Cole, P.M. Griffin, W. Gu, R.M. Hoekstra); US Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC, USA (N.J. Golden, S.K. Schmitt, J.S. Zablotsky Kufel)

Main Article

Table 1

Number of outbreaks and outbreak illnesses caused by a single pathogen and due to a single food category for Salmonella, Escherichia coli O157, Listeria monocytogenes, and Campylobacter, Foodborne Disease Outbreak Surveillance System, United States, 1998–2012*

Food category Nontyphoidal Salmonella spp. E. coli O157 Listeria monocytegenes Campylobacter spp. Total
Beef 47 (1,473) 97 (1,813) 1 (4) 2 (5) 147 (3,295)
Pork 51 (1,098) 0 2 (11) 1 (27) 54 (1,136)
Chicken 114 (2,648) 1 (36) 1 (3) 24 (230) 140 (2,917)
Turkey 49 (1,308) 1 (2) 4 (124) 5 (44) 59 (1,478)
Other meat or poultry 6 (84) 2 (9) 0 2 (6) 10 (99)
Game 2 (8) 4 (18) 0 1 (2) 7 (28)
Dairy 24 (793) 18 (399) 12 (124) 106 (3,395) 160 (4,711)
Eggs 140 (5,245) 0 0 0 140 (5,245)
Fish 12 (286) 0 0 1 (3) 13 (289)
Other seafood 4 (36) 0 0 5 (344) 9 (380)
Grains, beans 7 (268) 0 0 0 7 (268)
Oils, sugars 0 0 0 1 (3) 1 (3)
Fruits 46 (2,510) 11 (893) 1 (147) 2 (29) 60 (3,579)
Seeded vegetables 34 (4,001) 0 0 3 (136) 37 (4,137)
Sprouts 33 (1,266) 6 (55) 2 (26) 0 41 (1,347)
Vegetable row crops 10 (412) 29 (1,029) 1 (10) 7 (372) 47 (1,823)
Other produce
 18 (1,923)
 1 (8)
 0
 1 (136)
 20 (2,067)
Total 597 (23,359) 170 (4,262) 24 (449) 161 (4,732) 952 (32,802)

*Number of outbreak-associated illnesses in parentheses. Nontyphoidal Salmonella is divided into S. enterica serovar Enteritidis and other serovars (Appendix Table 2).

Main Article

1Current affiliation: US Department of Agriculture, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.

2Current affiliation: US Department of Defense, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.

3Current affiliation: US Department of Veterans Affairs, Palo Alto, California, USA.

4Retired.

Page created: November 23, 2020
Page updated: December 21, 2020
Page reviewed: December 21, 2020
The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
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