Risk Prediction Score for Pediatric Patients with Suspected Ebola Virus Disease
Alicia E. Genisca
1 , Tzu-Chun Chu
1, Lawrence Huang, Monique Gainey, Moyinoluwa Adeniji, Eta N. Mbong, Stephen B. Kennedy, Razia Laghari, Fiston Nganga, Rigo F. Muhayangabo, Himanshu Vaishnav, Shiromi M. Perera, Andrés Colubri
2, Adam C. Levine
2, and Ian C. Michelow
23
Author affiliations: Brown Emergency Medicine, Providence, Rhode Island, USA (A.E. Genisca, H. Vaishnav, A.C. Levine); Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence (A.E. Genisca, A.C. Levine, I.C. Michelow); University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA (T.C. Chu); Brown University, Providence (L. Huang, M. Adeniji); Rhode Island Hospital, Providence (M. Gainey); International Medical Corps, Goma, Democratic Republic of the Congo (E.N. Mbong, R. Laghari, F. Nganga, R.F. Muhayangabo); Ministry of Health, Monrovia, Liberia (S.B. Kennedy); International Medical Corps, Washington, DC, USA (S.M. Perera); University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School, Worcester, Massachusetts, USA (A. Colubri)
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Figure 6
Figure 6. Comparison of strength of discrimination using areas under the curve for Pediatric Ebola Risk Score (PERS) and World Health Organization criteria for study of risk prediction score for pediatric patients with suspected Ebola virus disease in Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2018–2019. A) PERS applied to data including no known Ebola contact (n = 1,336); B) World Health Organization criteria applied to data including no known Ebola contact (n = 1,336); C) PERS applied to data excluding no known Ebola contact (n = 426); and D) World Health Organization criteria applied to data excluding no known Ebola contact (n = 426). The shaded blue regions within each of the panels represent the confidence bands for the areas under the curve.
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