Public Health Impact of Paxlovid as Treatment for COVID-19, United States
Yuan Bai
1, Zhanwei Du
1, Lin Wang
1, Eric H.Y. Lau
1, Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, Petter Holme, Benjamin J. Cowling, Alison P. Galvani, Robert M. Krug, and Lauren Ancel Meyers
Author affiliations: The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong (Y. Bai, Z. Du, E.H.Y. Lau, B.J. Cowling); Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, Hong Kong, China (Y. Bai, Z. Du, E.H.Y. Lau, B.J. Cowling); University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK (L. Wang); Deakin University, Burwood, Victoria, Australia (E.H.Y. Lau); Georgia Southern University, Statesboro, Georgia, USA (I. C.-H. Fung); Aalto University, Espoo, Finland (P. Holme); Kobe University, Kobe, Japan (P. Holme); Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA (A.P. Galvani); University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA (R.M. Krug, L.A. Meyers); Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA (L.A. Meyers)
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Figure 2
Figure 2. Projected symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections over 300 days in the United States across a range of transmission and Paxlovid treatment scenarios. Estimated incidence of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections are shown assuming an effective reproduction number of 3.0 (A), 1.7 (B), or 1.2 (C). Colors correspond to 3 different treatment scenarios: 0% (blue), 20% (green), or 50% (orange) of symptomatic cases received a 5-day Paxlovid regimen initiated within 3 days of symptom onset.
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