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Volume 30, Number 8—August 2024
Dispatch

Spatiotemporal Modeling of Cholera, Uvira, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2016−2020

Ruwan RatnayakeComments to Author , Jackie Knee, Oliver Cumming, Jaime Mufitini Saidi, Baron Bashige Rumedeka, Flavio Finger, Andrew S. Azman, W. John Edmunds, Francesco Checchi1, and Karin Gallandat1
Author affiliations: London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK (R. Ratnayake, J. Knee, O. Cumming, W.J. Edmunds, F. Checchi, K. Gallandat); Ministère de la Santé Publique, Division Provinciale de la Santé du Sud-Kivu, Zone de Santé d’Uvira, Uvira, Democratic Republic of the Congo (J.M. Saidi, B.B. Rumedeka); Epicentre, Paris, France (F. Finger); Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA (A.S. Azman); Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland (A.S. Azman)

Main Article

Figure 3

Moving average estimates for RDT-positive and suspected cholera cases in study of spatiotemporal modeling of cholera, Uvira, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2016−2020. Moving average estimates of (relative risk) and 95% CIs (shading) are shown with point estimates (dashed horizontal lines) for days 0–4 (panels A–C) and days 1–4 (panels D–F), for RDT-positive cases (orange) and suspected cases (blue), using 1,000 bootstrap samples. The vertical dashed lines indicate the spatial extent of the zone of high-risk where the lower 95% CI crossed 1.0 for ≥30 meters consecutively (first line) and zone of elevated risk where the point estimate crossed 1.0 for ≥30 meters consecutively (second line). RDT, rapid diagnostic test.

Figure 3. Moving average estimates for RDT-positive and suspected cholera cases in study of spatiotemporal modeling of cholera, Uvira, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2016−2020. Moving average estimates of (relative risk) and 95% CIs (shading) are shown with point estimates (dashed horizontal lines) for days 0–4 (panels A–C) and days 1–4 (panels D–F), for RDT-positive cases (orange) and suspected cases (blue), using 1,000 bootstrap samples. The vertical dashed lines indicate the spatial extent of the zone of high-risk where the lower 95% CI crossed 1.0 for ≥30 meters consecutively (first line) and zone of elevated risk where the point estimate crossed 1.0 for ≥30 meters consecutively (second line). RDT, rapid diagnostic test.

Main Article

1These senior authors contributed equally to this article.

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