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Volume 23, Number 1—January 2017

Research

Modeling Tool for Decision Support during Early Days of an Anthrax Event

Gabriel RainischComments to Author , Martin I. Meltzer1, Sean Shadomy, William A. Bower, and Nathaniel Hupert1
Author affiliations: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA (G. Rainisch, M.I. Meltzer, S. Shadomy, W.A. Bower, N. Hupert); Weill Cornell Medical College and New York–Presbyterian Hospital, New York, New York, USA (N. Hupert)

Main Article

Figure 4

Final case count estimates comparisons to the baseline scenario estimate (614 cases) for selected PEP campaign parameter ranges. The base case estimate was produced using data from the first 3 days of the 1979 Sverdlovsk (USSR) anthrax outbreak (12), inflated by a factor of 10. All other values used in calculations are shown in Table 2. PEP, postexposure prophylaxis.

Figure 4. Final case count estimates comparisons to the baseline scenario estimate (614 cases) for selected PEP campaign parameter ranges. The base case estimate was produced using data from the first 3 days of the 1979 Sverdlovsk (USSR) anthrax outbreak (12), inflated by a factor of 10. All other values used in calculations are shown in Table 2. PEP, postexposure prophylaxis.

Main Article

1These senior authors contributed equally to this article.

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